Someone Cue "Always Look On the Bright Side of Life"...
I saw all this and made a prediction about 10% unemployment and I was right. Based on what I have seen the last few months I am upping the ante - employment will hit 12% in Obama's first term. It may even hit 11% by the midterm elections next year. By mid-year next year updates to the deficit picture will make the current horror show look rosy. Americans will be shocked to their core when they see the state of our nation's finances come the second half of 2010. Similarly, one or two large states (New York and California most likely) will have a fiscal crisis that is akin to bankruptcy, although states technically can't really go bankrput. Meanwhile the healthcare bill will have passed amid raging anger among the populace. Afghanistan will remain a stalemate and the KSM trial will be getting underway in NYC. I wish it were otherwise, but I fear Carter-era malaise will arrive in full force this time next year. Forget about the political ramifications, those are small potatoes. I fear social unrest. The clashes at UCLA earlier this week may be just the beginning. Hold on tight America.
N.B. I am a incurable optimist by nature and I have believed, up until now, that we would right our ship using the highly flexible corrective mechanisms of our democracy. I no longer feel that way. Metaphorically, I think we are having another national bout of alcoholism - drunk on unreality - and we'll need to hit rock bottom before we can reverse course. Sorry, folks, but when DB turns pessimistic, it's bad.

