Wednesday, August 10, 2011

The Question: How Much Pain

How much pain will Barack Obama force the Democratic Party to endure and how much will it take?

I pointed out long ago that Democratic Party poobahs were going to have to start asking hard questions and potentially make some hard decisions about Barack Obama. This is now becoming conventional wisdom. As usual, I was early on this. The problem is only going to get more acute. Democrats simply have to be hearing from their mainstream donors (people who aren't George Soros or Peter Lewis) and from the business community that BO has to go and that the party has to get back to pro-business pragmatism before they'll get the old level of financial support. I think the Democrats have totally lost the mainstream business community and won't get it back until they push the progressive wing back out to the margins. This is the problem underneath the surface where all appears calm, where it appears that Barack Obama is in control and at the center of the Democratic Party. He is not, he's renting it, and the issue is roiling underneath. It'll take a mighty smart and disciplined approach, and a little luck, to keep this tumult from coming to the surface and roiling the 2012 election.

N.B. that prediction I made in the Oct. 2010 post (which actually was made in Aug. 2010) about Obama's approval rating dipping into the 30s. I've actually claimed a +1 for myself on that prediction, but we are now on the cusp of the mainstream, left-leaning inclusive, polls showing a descent into the 30s.

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