Monday, July 30, 2012

"One Term Rally" Update

Did someone say "one term rally" for the stock market?  Uh, yeah, more than once actually.
Secondarily, I think this is good for the stock market. The economy will muddle through for the remainder of this year and into next, but the further Obama slides and the lower his chances at reelection get, I think we will see an inversely proportional growth in economic optimism. The more it looks like Obama is a goner, the more American business leaders will feel like a giant weight is being lifted, the more entrepreneurs will feel like the sky is clearing. I predict a rough inverse correlation from here on in between Obama's poll numbers and the stock market - call it the "one term rally."
Not quite "ca-ching", but folks are coming around to my idea here.
With just 100 days left until the U.S. presidential election, investors are beginning to make bigger bets on which candidate will carry the day.
 One analysis concludes that last week's sharp three-day market surge can only mean that Wall Street is banking on a victory from Republican Mitt Romney.
...
 The conclusion Parker draws is that investors are betting that Romney will unseat President Obama and bring a more business-friendly environment to the White House.

1 Comments:

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