Thursday, October 04, 2012

My Prediction Getting Soooooo Close

On June 21, 2012 I predicted Obama would implode.  I assessed the status my prediction in August:
OK, so remember that on June 21 I said that the Obama campaign would implode.

 While I predicted that Obama would meltdown almost on the day that he took office, we sit on the cusp of his re-election battle and he has stubbornly hung on to stay in contention, at least superficially.  So I am making another prediction, actually more of an update, I guess, to my original meltdown trajectory.  So here goes.  The Obama presidency/campaign/phenomenon will shortly implode.  Yes, "implode", as in spectacularly fail and wind up in ruins.
Shortly after, Chief Justice Roberts saved Obamacare by converting the mandate to a tax, so I was looking dead wrong.  But look what has happened since:
- Romney out-raises Obama by $60 million over two months and has a cash advantage over Obama
- Tina Brown runs "Hit the Road Barack" on the cover of Newsweek
- It is leaked that Hillary turned down the VP slot AND urged a reluctant Obama to strike bin Laden
- Joe Biden turns the Gaffe-o-meter up to a Spinal Tap-ish 11
- It is leaked that there is turmoil in the Obama Campaign HQ
- The MSM shines a light on Obama's brutally negative campaigning
- The Romney-Ryan ticket is playing to packed venues everywhere it goes
- gas prices are rising again and there are reports of a desperation tapping of the SPR
- a Cook County poll showed Obama's lead slipping in Cook County, IL
- and OF COURSE, on July 13th Obama gave his now infamous "You Didn't Build That" speech

I'm not claiming a score here on my prediction, but all this is a solid foundation on which a definite +1 could be built.  If Romney keeps out-raising Obama (which I also predicted a looooong time ago) and the MSM starts to feel their man might be doomed, they might bail on him and we might see more stuff like Tina Brown's recent Newsweek cover.  We may even see someone who is the apotheosis of the MSM, say George Stephanopolous or Eleanor Clift say flat "let's face it, Obama is going to lose."  Then he's toast and I will chalk one up for DB.
 Obviously the polls through September have been making this look a little foolish, but you can count me solidly in the "the polls are MSM bullsh*t" camp.  Still, since the above list was assembled, we've had the phony weather excuse to bail on the 70K stadium address at the DNC, the  Libya Cover Up debacle, and now this debate performance.  Throw these in the pot and we are very very close to having Implosion Soup.  Not there yet, but very very close.

Oh did I mention that I predicted $4 gas and 10% unemployment (which we have given the underemployment stats) in the heart of the election season back in 2009 !!!

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